Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kestel Cilekspor vs Gemlikspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Genc M.
43' Event
Celik M.
61' Event
Colak N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Kestel Cilekspor and Gemlikspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kestel Cilekspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kestel Cilekspor
15%
Draws
69%
Gemlikspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gemlikspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kestel Cilekspor Clean Sheet 12%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kestel Cilekspor Gemlikspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Kestel Cilekspor
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Kestel Cilekspor vs Gemlikspor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kestel Cilekspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Genc M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kestel Cilekspor 19 / 100
Gemlikspor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kestel Cilekspor Gemlikspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Kestel Cilekspor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gemlikspor conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Kestel Cilekspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kestel Cilekspor VS Gemlikspor
1.14 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kestel Cilekspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
05 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
2 : 0
Silivrispor
29 Mar
Galata Spor Kulubu
2 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
24 Mar
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Bulvarspor
Page 1 of 6

Gemlikspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Aksehirspor
0 : 4
Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)