Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kettering vs Coalville Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

'
Doyle-Charles J.
35' Event
Reindorf M.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Kettering and Coalville Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Kettering
15%
Draws
7%
Coalville Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kettering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Coalville Town haven't matched Kettering's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kettering's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kettering Clean Sheet 20%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kettering Coalville Town
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Coalville Town
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Kettering
3:1
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Coalville Town vs Kettering
2:4
Mar 5, 2019 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Coalville Town
2:3
Jan 12, 2019 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Kettering
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kettering Compare

Top Goalscorer Reindorf M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Coalville Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kettering 85 / 100
Coalville Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kettering Coalville Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kettering Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kettering found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Coalville Town let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Kettering remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kettering VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kettering

(Home)
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4
Kettering
22 Sept
Rushall
3 : 2
Kettering
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0
Quorn
12 Sept
Kettering
1 : 0
Stratford
08 Sept
Kettering
2 : 1
Wellingborough
Page 1 of 6

Coalville Town

(Away)
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2
Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3
Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4
Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0
Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)