Sport Picks
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
Albania
Albanian Cup Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sota E.
44'
44'
Gomes da Silva J. M.
45'
45'
Musta E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KF Egnatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- KF Egnatia carry the better recent record into this one.
- KF Egnatia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- KF Egnatia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Egnatia | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
2:1
May 17, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:4
Apr 22, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KF Egnatia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sota E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
AF Elbasani Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes da Silva J. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Egnatia 86 / 100
AF Elbasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Egnatia AF Elbasani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
KF Egnatia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: KF Egnatia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KF Egnatia VS AF Elbasani
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Egnatia
(Home) 13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3 KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0 KF Tirana
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0 KF Tirana
20 Aug
KF Egnatia
0 : 0 Lillestrom
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3 Celje
Page 1 of 3
AF Elbasani
(Away) 13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1 AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1 AF Elbasani
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3 Partizani
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1 AF Elbasani
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1 AF Elbasani
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0 AF Elbasani
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2 AF Elbasani
06 May
Bylis
2 : 1 AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2
