Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The First Division 2020/2021 game between KF Egnatia and KF Elbasani finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Egnatia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KF Egnatia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- KF Egnatia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and KF Egnatia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 20%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Egnatia | KF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Egnatia vs KF Elbasani
3:0
Nov 4, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:3
Dec 1, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
KF Egnatia vs KF Elbasani
1:0
Sep 15, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 22, 2005 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs KF Elbasani
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Egnatia 85 / 100
KF Elbasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Egnatia KF Elbasani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KF Egnatia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
KF Elbasani let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
KF Egnatia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KF Egnatia VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Egnatia
(Home) 20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3 KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
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20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Partizani
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0 KF Tirana
20 Aug
KF Egnatia
0 : 0 Lillestrom
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
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KF Elbasani
(Away) 12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1 Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
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02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
15 May
Lushnja
1 : 1 KF Elbasani
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burreli | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 2 | Korabi Peshkopi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:8 | 33 |
| 3 | Dinamo City | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23:9 | 32 |
| 4 | Vora | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10:18 | 21 |
| 5 | Beselidhja Lezha | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Erzeni Shijak | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | KF Oriku | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 7:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Partizani II | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:25 | 15 |
| 9 | Koplik | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:26 | 10 |
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KF Egnatia | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Tomori Berat | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 4 | Besa Kavaje | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Lushnja | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Turbina Cerrik | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Flamurtari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7:20 | 10 |
| 8 | KF Elbasani | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5:34 | 1 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
