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KF Elbasani vs Sopoti Librazhd

Albania Albania

First Division 2016/2017 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2016/2017 game between KF Elbasani and Sopoti Librazhd finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
KF Elbasani
30%
Draws
41%
Sopoti Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sopoti Librazhd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • KF Elbasani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KF Elbasani a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 16%
Sopoti Librazhd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani Sopoti Librazhd
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:0
Apr 8, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Sopoti Librazhd
2:2
Feb 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:2
Nov 2, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Sopoti Librazhd
1:1
Apr 6, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs KF Elbasani
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 36 / 100
Sopoti Librazhd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani Sopoti Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sopoti Librazhd has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

KF Elbasani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

KF Elbasani found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

KF Elbasani VS Sopoti Librazhd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
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Sopoti Librazhd

(Away)
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
05 Sept
Bylis
1 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iliria Kruja 8 4 1 3 10:10 20
2 Kastrioti 8 3 0 5 9:11 20
3 Besa Kavaje 8 3 2 3 8:8 20
4 Terbuni Puka 8 4 2 2 7:5 19
5 Mamurrasi 8 3 1 4 8:8 17
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apolonia Fier 8 4 3 1 17:9 26
2 Turbina Cerrik 8 3 2 3 13:12 22
3 Dinamo City 8 2 4 2 6:8 19
4 Sopoti Librazhd 8 2 3 3 8:9 17
5 KF Elbasani 8 1 4 3 11:17 15
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)