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KF Elbasani vs Turbina Cerrik

Albania Albania

First Division 2020/2021 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2020/2021 game between KF Elbasani and Turbina Cerrik finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KF Elbasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
KF Elbasani
20%
Draws
30%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turbina Cerrik come out ahead of KF Elbasani on wins alone.
  • Model gives KF Elbasani a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 16%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Elbasani Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.89 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Turbina Cerrik
4:3
Apr 3, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs KF Elbasani
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Turbina Cerrik
0:0
Dec 13, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs KF Elbasani
2:1
Jul 19, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs KF Elbasani
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Elbasani 84 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Elbasani Turbina Cerrik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Turbina Cerrik conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: KF Elbasani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Turbina Cerrik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Elbasani VS Turbina Cerrik
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Elbasani

(Home)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
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Turbina Cerrik

(Away)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Beselidhja Lezha 24 10 6 8 32:26 36
6 Erzeni Shijak 24 9 7 8 29:22 34
7 KF Oriku 24 9 4 11 18:21 31
8 Partizani II 24 6 6 12 26:38 24
9 Koplik 24 2 5 17 17:46 11
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lushnja 20 7 7 6 21:25 28
6 Turbina Cerrik 20 6 7 7 23:24 25
7 Flamurtari 20 5 2 13 14:30 17
8 KF Elbasani 20 3 2 15 13:40 11
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation)