Sport Picks
KF Gostivar vs Brera Strumica
North Macedonia
1. MFL 2024/2025 Stadion Boris Trajkovski, Skopje 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Arizankoski A. In: Trawally F.
Out: Arizankoski A.
9'
9'
Ndzengue F.
25'
25'
Kalanoski A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Strumica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- KF Gostivar have won more games recently than Brera Strumica.
- Model gives Brera Strumica a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular 1. MFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 19%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KF Gostivar | Brera Strumica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Brera Strumica
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs KF Gostivar
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Brera Strumica
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Brera Strumica
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Brera Strumica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KF Gostivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalanoski A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aydogan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Brera Strumica Compare
Top Goalscorer Velkov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gjorgievski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
Brera Strumica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KF Gostivar Brera Strumica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brera Strumica has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
KF Gostivar's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Brera Strumica
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Gostivar
(Home) 18 May
Vardar
3 : 0 KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0 KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 6
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Shkendija Tetovo
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Rabotnicki
13 Apr
KF Gostivar
3 : 1 Shkupi
31 Mar
KF Gostivar
0 : 2 Voska Sport
Page 1 of 4
Brera Strumica
(Away) 20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0 Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0 Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8 Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1 Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0 Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8 Brera Strumica
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0 Brera Strumica
31 Jul
Teteks
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
25 Jul
Ferizaj
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
18 Jul
Rabotnicki
1 : 0 Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija Tetovo | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 59:30 | 70 |
| 2 | Sileks | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 57:19 | 67 |
| 3 | Rabotnicki | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 38:21 | 56 |
| 4 | Struga | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 41:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Vardar | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Pelister | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 39 |
| 7 | Shkupi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 47:47 | 38 |
| 8 | Tikves | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 25:33 | 34 |
| 9 | Brera Strumica | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 41:56 | 34 |
| 10 | Besa 1976 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34:53 | 33 |
| 11 | KF Gostivar | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:34 | 21 |
| 12 | Voska Sport | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25:63 | -5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)
