Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Gostivar vs Rabotnicki

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Stadion Boris Trajkovski, Skopje
Sun, Apr 27, 2025
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Gando M.
54'
Kalanoski A.
62'
Sub
Adem E. In: Alomerovic D.
Out: Adem E.

AI Match Summary

KF Gostivar host Rabotnicki in the 1. MFL 2024/2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. KF Gostivar have averaged 1 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Rabotnicki's 1.76 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Rabotnicki slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.35 - 1.61) back Rabotnicki to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Gostivar
15%
Draws
85%
Rabotnicki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rabotnicki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Gostivar haven't matched Rabotnicki's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rabotnicki a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 14%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Gostivar Rabotnicki
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Rabotnicki
0:3
Mar 2, 2025 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Rabotnicki
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs KF Gostivar
1:0
Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Rabotnicki vs KF Gostivar
2:1
May 12, 2024 1. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Rabotnicki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Gostivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Erwin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Rabotnicki Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daley C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Gostivar 10 / 100
Rabotnicki 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Gostivar Rabotnicki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rabotnicki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KF Gostivar scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Rabotnicki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Rabotnicki registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rabotnicki
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Gostivar

(Home)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
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Rabotnicki

(Away)
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)