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KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

First Division 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Butrinti Sarande advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Oriku
15%
Draws
85%
Butrinti Sarande
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Butrinti Sarande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Butrinti Sarande haven't matched KF Oriku's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KF Oriku a 42% chance of winning this.
  • KF Oriku have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Butrinti Sarande, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 20%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Oriku Butrinti Sarande
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 1 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande
1:2
Jun 5, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Butrinti Sarande
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Oriku 42 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Oriku Butrinti Sarande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Butrinti Sarande has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: KF Oriku scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

KF Oriku VS Butrinti Sarande
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Oriku

(Home)
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
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Butrinti Sarande

(Away)
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
KF Oriku 0
Butrinti Sarande 1
Flamurtari 0
Terbuni Puka 1