Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KF Tirana vs Koplik

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023 Selman Stërmasi Stadium, Tirana
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Hajdari A.
40' Event
Hajdari A.
45' Event
Zhivanaj R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
KF Tirana
30%
Draws
12%
Koplik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • KF Tirana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans KF Tirana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • KF Tirana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 20%
Koplik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Tirana Koplik
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.31 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
KF Tirana vs Koplik
2:2
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Koplik vs KF Tirana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhivanaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Koplik Compare

Top Goalscorer Hajdari A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Tirana 85 / 100
Koplik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Tirana Koplik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Tirana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Tirana's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Koplik conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

KF Tirana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KF Tirana VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Tirana

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
06 Sept
KF Tirana
4 : 0
Vora
30 Aug
Teuta
3 : 1
KF Tirana
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
KF Tirana
Page 1 of 7

Koplik

(Away)
14 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
4 : 1
Koplik
16 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
5 : 2
Koplik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
12 Oct
KF Tirana
2 : 2
Koplik
28 Sept
Koplik
0 : 3
KF Tirana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Burreli -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
KS Devolli 5
Sopoti Librazhd 1
TBD -
Laci -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Terbuni Puka -
Koplik 3
Murlani 0
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak -
Luzi -
TBD -
TBD -
Teuta -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
Laberia FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
1/16-finals
Pogradeci 1
Bylis 10
Flamurtari 2
Vllaznia 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KF Oriku 0
Partizani 2
Maliqi 1
Skenderbeu Korca 8
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia 6
Burreli 2
Tomori Berat 5
KS Devolli 0
Laci 7
Butrinti Sarande 0
Dinamo City 4
Vora 0
Kastrioti 1
Lushnja 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Koplik 2
KF Tirana 5
Turbina Cerrik 1
Erzeni Shijak 6
Luzi 0
Teuta 2
Beselidhja Lezha 1
Apolonia Fier 2
Laberia FC 0
Kukesi 5
1/8-finals
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Partizani 6
Skenderbeu Korca 1
KF Egnatia 2
Tomori Berat 2
Laci 5
Dinamo City 1
Kastrioti 3
Lushnja 0
KF Tirana 4
Erzeni Shijak 1
Teuta 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Kukesi 5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia 3
Partizani 2
KF Egnatia 3
Laci 0
Kastrioti 3
KF Tirana 6
Teuta 3
Kukesi 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 2
KF Tirana 3
Teuta 0
Final
KF Egnatia 1
KF Tirana 0