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KF Valbona vs Lushnja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Llanaj K.
44' Event
Krasniqi J.
45' Event
Ulluri G.

AI Match Summary

Lushnja in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lushnja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KF Valbona
15%
Draws
85%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lushnja lately — more wins on the board than KF Valbona.
  • Win probability leans KF Valbona's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lushnja have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
KF Valbona Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Valbona Lushnja
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Valbona
4:1
Feb 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
KF Valbona vs Lushnja
2:4
Nov 3, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Valbona
0:2
May 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Valbona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Llanaj K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulluri G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xhabrahimi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Valbona 86 / 100
Lushnja 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Valbona Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Valbona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lushnja has conceded goals in 69% of their last 39 outings.

Difficult form: Lushnja registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KF Valbona

(Home)
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
20 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 3
Besa Kavaje
13 Apr
Burreli
2 : 1
KF Valbona
05 Apr
KF Valbona
1 : 2
Pogradeci
30 Mar
Lushnja
4 : 1
KF Valbona
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Lushnja

(Away)
07 Oct
Lushnja
0 : 4
Shiroka
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)