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KFA vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Omarsson G.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Mourad K.
40' Event
Biberdzic D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between KFA and KFG Gardabaer finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KFA
15%
Draws
42%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KFA come out ahead of KFG Gardabaer on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.06 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
3:4
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs KFG Gardabaer
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 Division 2
KFA vs KFG Gardabaer
5:2
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs KFA
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Mourad K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gretarsson P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 30 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFA's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

KFG Gardabaer let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

KFA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFA VS KFG Gardabaer
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KFA

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFA
2 : 3
Dalvik/Reynir
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
Page 1 of 7

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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