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KFA vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Kjartansson V.

AI Match Summary

Selfoss in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
KFA
15%
Draws
53%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Selfoss lately — more wins on the board than KFA.
  • Model gives Selfoss a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Selfoss have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFA Selfoss
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.06 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs Selfoss
0:1
May 2, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs KFA
2:4
Sep 27, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
Selfoss vs KFA
3:1
Jul 27, 2024 Division 2
KFA vs Selfoss
0:1
May 18, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs KFA
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFA 10 / 100
Selfoss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFA Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KFA scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Selfoss let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

KFA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KFA VS Selfoss
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KFA

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFA
2 : 3
Dalvik/Reynir
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0
Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
Page 1 of 7

Selfoss

(Away)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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