Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Ragnarsson H.
10'
10'
Sverrisson M.
26'
26'
Sverrisson M.
AI Match Summary
KFA in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 7-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- KFA have won more games recently than Spyrnir.
- Model gives KFA a 68% chance of winning this.
- KFA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KFA, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KFA Clean Sheet 16%
Spyrnir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KFA | Spyrnir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 6 |
| Wins | 16 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.47 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KFA vs Spyrnir
3:0
Apr 6, 2023 Icelandic Cup
KFA vs Spyrnir
7:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KFA Compare
Top Goalscorer Sverrisson M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Milenkovic D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Spyrnir Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KFA 84 / 100
Spyrnir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KFA Spyrnir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: KFA scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.
Spyrnir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: KFA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KFA VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KFA
(Home) 29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3 KFA
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0 Hviti
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2 KFA
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4 KFA
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2 Haukar
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
KFA
6 : 0 Hviti
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2 Haukar
25 Jul
KFA
4 : 2 Throttur Vogar
18 Jul
KFA
0 : 1 Selfoss
04 Jul
KFA
3 : 0 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 4
Spyrnir
(Away) 21 Mar
Spyrnir
: Sindri
05 Apr
KFA
3 : 0 Spyrnir
29 Mar
Spyrnir
5 : 0 Neisti
05 Apr
Spyrnir
0 : 5 Hottur / Huginn
06 Apr
KFA
7 : 1 Spyrnir
Page 1 of 2
05 Apr
KFA
3 : 0 Spyrnir
06 Apr
KFA
7 : 1 Spyrnir
09 Apr
Sindri
6 : 0 Spyrnir
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
