Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kfar Kama vs Kiryat Gat

Israel Israel

State Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pinia U.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Kiryat Gat advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kfar Kama
25%
Draws
35%
Kiryat Gat
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kfar Kama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kiryat Gat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kiryat Gat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kiryat Gat, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kfar Kama Clean Sheet 20%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kfar Kama Kiryat Gat
Matches Played 1 23
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 3
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 0 2.09
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 State Cup
Kfar Kama vs Kiryat Gat
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kfar Kama Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Kiryat Gat Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinia U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kfar Kama 31 / 100
Kiryat Gat 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kfar Kama Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kfar Kama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kiryat Gat conceded in 70% of 23 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kfar Kama scored in 0% of their last 1 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Kiryat Gat's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kiryat Gat
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kfar Kama

(Home)
30 Sept
Kfar Kama
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat

Kiryat Gat

(Away)
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Nes Tziona 1
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
TBD -
Hapoel Sderot FC 2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7
FC Beer Sheva 0
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
Beitar Haifa 0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula -
TBD -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Kfar Saba 1928 2
Maccabi Yavne 0
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1
Bnei Jaffa 4
Jerusalem FC 6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1
TBD -
H. Raanana -
Kiryat Haim 1
Hapoel Yarka 2
Kfar Kama 0
Kiryat Gat 1
Ironi Modiin -
TBD -
M. Nazareth 2
Beitar Ramat Gan 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv 2
TBD -
MS Kafr Qasim -
Shikun Hamizrah 0
Holon Yermiyahu 5
TBD -
Nof Hagalil -
Ironi Or Yehuda 1
FC Dimona 3
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Hapoel Karmiel 4
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera 3
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2
Kiryat Yam 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya 2
Hapoel Akko 0
Kfar Saba 1928 1
H. Ironi Rishon 0
Bnei Jaffa 1
Jerusalem FC 0
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 0
H. Raanana 1
Hapoel Yarka 0
Kiryat Gat 4
Ironi Modiin 1
M. Nazareth 3
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0
MS Kafr Qasim 2
Holon Yermiyahu 1
Nof Hagalil 0
FC Dimona 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva 0
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 2
Hapoel Karmiel 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Sderot FC 1
Hapoel Jerusalem 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2
Shmona 3
Ironi Tiberias 1
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1
M. Herzliya 4
Kfar Saba 1928 1
Bnei Jaffa 0
Netanya 6
Sakhnin 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
SC Ashdod 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Hapoel Haifa 0
H. Raanana 4
Kiryat Gat 3
M. Nazareth 1
Maccabi Haifa 8
MS Kafr Qasim 3
Holon Yermiyahu 1
FC Dimona 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Shmona 0
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 1
M. Herzliya 0
Netanya 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2
H. Raanana 0
Maccabi Haifa 1
MS Kafr Qasim 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina 0
H. Beer Sheva 3
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Jaffa 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Maccabi Haifa 2
MS Kafr Qasim 0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva 3
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Maccabi Haifa 2
Final
H. Beer Sheva 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2