Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFG Gardabaer vs Afrika Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bjorgvinsson M.
71' Event
Ingason A.
72' Event
Vidarsson G.

AI Match Summary

The Icelandic Cup 2018 game between KFG Gardabaer and Afrika Reykjavik finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KFG Gardabaer
6%
Draws
4%
Afrika Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KFG Gardabaer come out ahead of Afrika Reykjavik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Icelandic Cup 2018 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 13%
Afrika Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Afrika Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 9 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2018 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Afrika Reykjavik
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorgvinsson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Afrika Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 84 / 100
Afrika Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Afrika Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Afrika Reykjavik conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Afrika Reykjavik registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Afrika Reykjavik
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fylkir-
Njardvik10
KB Breidholt1
Stokkseyri-
Kordrengir-
Vaengirs3
Hviti2
TBD-
Throttur-
Fjolnir-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fjallabyggd6
Nokkvi0
TBD-
Magni-
Kopavogur-
TBD-
Isbjorninn0
Alftanes9
Dalvik/Reynir2
UMF Geisli0
TBD-
Thor Akureyri-
Akranes-
TBD-
Snaefell2
IH Hafnarfjordur7
Grotta9
Vatnaliljur0
TBD-
Selfoss-
Vidir6
KFS2
SR Reykjavik0
Throttur Vogar4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grindavik-
KA Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vestri18
Kongarnir2
TBD-
Haukar-
IR Reykjavik1
Aegir0
Kormakur/Hvot0
Augnablik17
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
Breidablik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KH Hlidarendi6
Kria2
TBD-
Leiknir Reykjavik-
Afturelding6
KFR1
Ymir2
KV Reykjavik5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KR Reykjavik-
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiknir Faskruds-
TBD-
Sindri2
Einherji5
Keflavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valur-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skallagrimur2
Stal-Ulfur0
Berserkir1
Reynir5
Hottur1
Fjardabyggd0
TBD-
Huginn-
Ellidi4
Midas1
Hordur Isafjordur1
Kari13
Fram6
Armann0
Alafoss1
GG Grindavik5
Tindastoll-
TBD-
TBD-
Volsungur-
Hamar1
Arborg0
Ulfarnir0
Lettir1
KFG Gardabaer5
Afrika Reykjavik0
TBD-
Olafsvik-
1/32-finals
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
Fylkir-
Njardvik2
Kordrengir0
Vaengirs0
Throttur2
Fjolnir-
TBD-
Fjallabyggd0
Magni5
Kopavogur5
Alftanes0
Dalvik/Reynir1
Thor Akureyri3
Akranes8
IH Hafnarfjordur0
Grotta2
Selfoss3
Vidir2
Throttur Vogar1
TBD-
Grindavik-
KA Akureyri-
TBD-
Vestri1
Haukar3
IR Reykjavik1
Augnablik0
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
Breidablik-
TBD-
KH Hlidarendi2
Leiknir Reykjavik3
Afturelding8
KV Reykjavik2
TBD-
KR Reykjavik-
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
TBD-
Leiknir Faskruds0
Einherji1
Keflavik-
TBD-
TBD-
Valur-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
Skallagrimur0
Reynir9
Hottur3
Huginn0
Ellidi1
Kari9
Fram10
GG Grindavik0
Tindastoll1
Volsungur7
Hamar1
Lettir0
KFG Gardabaer0
Olafsvik5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan2
Fylkir1
Njardvik2
Throttur4
Fjolnir3
Magni1
Kopavogur2
Thor Akureyri3
Akranes4
Selfoss1
Vidir2
Grindavik4
KA Akureyri2
Haukar1
IR Reykjavik0
Hafnarfjordur5
Breidablik3
Leiknir Reykjavik1
Afturelding1
KR Reykjavik7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar4
Einherji2
Keflavik0
Valur2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Reynir0
Hottur2
Kari5
Fram2
Volsungur1
Hamar3
Olafsvik5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan5
Throttur0
Fjolnir1
Thor Akureyri2
Akranes2
Grindavik1
KA Akureyri0
Hafnarfjordur1
Breidablik1
KR Reykjavik0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2
Valur3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Kari3
Fram0
Olafsvik1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan2
Thor Akureyri1
Akranes0
Hafnarfjordur1
Breidablik2
Valur1
Vikingur Reykjavik0
Olafsvik1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan2
Hafnarfjordur0
Breidablik3
Olafsvik2
Final
Stjarnan1
Breidablik0