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KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hauksson B.
9' Event
Vidarsson K.
29' Event
Valgeirsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2024 game between KFG Gardabaer and Reynir finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
28%
Reynir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • KFG Gardabaer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KFG Gardabaer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Reynir
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.94 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.56 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2
Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
5:4
Apr 12, 2019 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Barddal J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hauksson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidarsson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smarason B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Reynir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Reynir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Reynir has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Reynir has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Reynir
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
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Reynir

(Away)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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