Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Thorbjornsson S.
57' Event
Thorleksson P. M.
61' Event
Hilmarsson H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between KFG Gardabaer and Throttur Vogar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KFG Gardabaer
15%
Draws
26%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KFG Gardabaer a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 12%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer
5:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
3:1
Jul 30, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
4:3
May 23, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Throttur Vogar
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorbjornsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorleksson P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Throttur Vogar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Recent resilience: KFG Gardabaer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Throttur Vogar
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)