Sport Picks
KFG Gardabaer vs Vaengirs
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2017 
Match Events
45'
45'
Fernandes Olafsson D.
59'
59'
Palmason B.
92'
92'
Palmason B.
AI Match Summary
KFG Gardabaer in this Icelandic Cup 2017 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- KFG Gardabaer have won more games recently than Vaengirs.
- Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 80%.
- KFG Gardabaer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KFG Gardabaer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | KFG Gardabaer | Vaengirs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2017 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Vaengirs
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
KFG Gardabaer Compare
Top Goalscorer Palmason B.
4 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Vaengirs Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandes Olafsson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
KFG Gardabaer 74 / 100
Vaengirs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
KFG Gardabaer Vaengirs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KFG Gardabaer's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Defensive concern: Vaengirs conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Vaengirs registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
KFG Gardabaer VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KFG Gardabaer
(Home) 22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5 KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4 KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1 KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1 KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 8
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4 KFA
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5 Kari
03 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3 Selfoss
20 Jun
KFG Gardabaer
0 : 6 Dalvik/Reynir
Page 1 of 4
Vaengirs
(Away) 19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Afturelding
3 : 1 Vaengirs
23 Apr
Kari
: Vaengirs
18 Apr
Kordrengir
1 : 0 Vaengirs
13 Apr
Hviti
2 : 3 Vaengirs
23 Apr
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1 Vaengirs
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 7
Snaefell 1
KV Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 2
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Stal-Ulfur 1
Njardvik 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reynir 7
Kordrengir 1
TBD -
Haukar -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 6
Alftanes 1
Vestri 0
Ymir 2
Aegir 3
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nokkvi 7
UMF Geisli 1
TBD -
Magni -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 0
SR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huginn -
TBD -
Hottur 4
Sindri 5
Kari 6
Lettir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Augnablik 6
Kormakur/Hvot 6
Ellidi 3
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 4
Midas 1
TBD -
Keflavik -
Hamar 4
KFS 1
KB Breidholt 1
Arborg 5
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
Ulfarnir 1
TBD -
Fylkir -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Berserkir 3
Skallagrimur 1
Gnupverjar 1
KFR 2
KFG Gardabaer 4
Vaengirs 1
Afturelding 0
Grotta 1
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 4
Drangley 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Throttur -
TBD -
Kongarnir 1
Afrika Reykjavik 3
Stokkseyri 1
Kria 0
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 0
Throttur Vogar 3
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds 2
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Reynir 0
Haukar 4
Thor Akureyri 2
Tindastoll 1
Alftanes 0
Aegir 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Nokkvi 1
Magni 5
KH Hlidarendi 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Huginn 1
Sindri 4
Kari 3
Augnablik 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Selfoss 8
Vidir 1
Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Arborg 1
Breidablik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 0
Fylkir 7
Akranes -
TBD -
Kopavogur 0
Fram 1
Berserkir 3
KFR 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Grotta 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Volsungur 2
Throttur 11
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stokkseyri 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Olafsvik 0
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Leiknir Faskruds 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Haukar 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 2
Magni 1
KH Hlidarendi 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Hafnarfjordur 6
Sindri 1
Kari 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 1
Arborg 0
Breidablik 0
Fylkir 1
Akranes 4
Fram 3
Berserkir 1
Grotta 4
Grindavik 7
Volsungur 1
Throttur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 2
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 1
Vidir 0
Fylkir 5
Akranes 2
Grotta 1
Grindavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
Akranes 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Final
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
