Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup
Thu, Mar 19, 2026
2 - 3
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Asmundsson B.
55' Event
Valgeirsson A.
75' Event
Aevarsson I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Vidir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
KFG Gardabaer
22%
Draws
60%
Vidir
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vidir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vidir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vidir are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Vidir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KFG Gardabaer, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%
Vidir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFG Gardabaer Vidir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
2:1
Sep 29, 2023 Fotbolti.net Cup
Vidir vs KFG Gardabaer
2:1
Jul 25, 2019 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Vidir
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Asmundsson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valgeirsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vidir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aevarsson I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McAusland M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFG Gardabaer 18 / 100
Vidir 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFG Gardabaer Vidir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Vidir has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Vidir has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KFG Gardabaer VS Vidir
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KFG Gardabaer

(Home)
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5
Kari
12 Jul
Throttur Vogar
5 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
03 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Selfoss
27 Jun
Olafsvik
1 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
20 Jun
KFG Gardabaer
0 : 6
Dalvik/Reynir
Page 1 of 6

Vidir

(Away)
01 Apr
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Vidir
19 Mar
KFG Gardabaer
2 : 3
Vidir
13 Sept
Vidir
2 : 3
Aegir
06 Sept
KFA
2 : 0
Vidir
30 Aug
Vidir
2 : 2
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn-
TBD-
Einherji2
Neisti5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KA Akureyri-
Lettir7
Stokkseyri3
Arbaer1
Hafnir0
Aegir-
TBD-
RB Keflavik1
Reynir7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Throttur-
TBD-
Olafsvik3
Arborg2
Volsungur-
TBD-
TBD-
Kormakur/Hvot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Akranes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vaengirs2
Haukar3
KFR-
IH Hafnarfjordur-
Reynir Hellissandur0
Ellidi9
TBD-
Grindavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Keflavik-
Alafoss1
Fjolnir4
KFG Gardabaer2
Vidir3
Kopavogur-
TBD-
BF 1085
Afrika Reykjavik1
Fram-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
Fylkir-
TBD-
KV Reykjavik5
KB Breidholt0
Spyrnir-
Sindri-
TBD-
KFA-
Thor Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
Vestri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiknir Reykjavik-
TBD-
Skallagrimur2
Smari3
Throttur Vogar0
Grotta2
Ulfarnir4
Hamar2
Alftanes5
Kria2
SR Reykjavik2
Kari8
IR Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
Afturelding-
Ymir7
Falkar0
KFS-
Thorlakur-
Tindastoll3
Fjallabyggd1
Dalvik/Reynir1
Magni3
Njardvik-
TBD-
KH Hlidarendi1
Hviti2
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KA Asvellir0
Selfoss3
IBU1
Augnablik12
KR Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Valur-
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn5
Neisti0
TBD-
KA Akureyri-
Lettir3
Arbaer5
Aegir2
Reynir0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
TBD-
Throttur3
Olafsvik1
Volsungur2
Kormakur/Hvot3
TBD-
Breidablik-
Akranes-
TBD-
Haukar3
KFR0
Ellidi0
Grindavik2
TBD-
Keflavik-
Fjolnir2
Vidir1
Kopavogur4
BF 1080
Fram-
TBD-
TBD-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
Fylkir6
KV Reykjavik0
Sindri0
KFA1
Thor Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
Vestri-
TBD-
Leiknir Reykjavik3
Smari0
Grotta2
Ulfarnir1
Alftanes5
Kari1
IR Reykjavik2
Afturelding3
Ymir10
KFS0
Tindastoll3
Magni1
Njardvik5
Hviti2
Stjarnan-
TBD-
Selfoss7
Augnablik1
KR Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
Valur-
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn0
KA Akureyri5
Arbaer1
Aegir7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2
Throttur3
Kormakur/Hvot1
Breidablik6
Akranes4
Haukar0
Grindavik2
Keflavik1
Fjolnir3
Kopavogur4
Fram2
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Fylkir2
KFA0
Thor Akureyri2
Hafnarfjordur4
Vestri1
Leiknir Reykjavik0
Grotta1
Alftanes0
Afturelding6
Ymir1
Tindastoll0
Njardvik1
Stjarnan2
Selfoss1
KR Reykjavik4
Valur2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri1
Aegir2
Throttur1
Breidablik2
Akranes3
Grindavik2
Kopavogur0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Fylkir5
Hafnarfjordur0
Vestri0
Grotta4
Afturelding5
Njardvik2
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik1
Quarter-finals
Aegir0
Breidablik3
Akranes1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Fylkir4
Grotta2
Afturelding3
Stjarnan1
Semi-finals
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
Fylkir1
Afturelding2
Final
Breidablik-
Afturelding-