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KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien KFUM Arena, Oslo
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KFUM Oslo host Valerenga in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. KFUM Oslo have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Valerenga's 2.03 scored and 1.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Valerenga slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 2.19, favoring Valerenga. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KFUM Oslo
20%
Draws
29%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KFUM Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Valerenga average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of KFUM Oslo's 1.41.
  • Model gives KFUM Oslo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KFUM Oslo Valerenga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo
2:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo
1:1
May 26, 2025 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga
0:1
Apr 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KFUM Oslo 40 / 100
Valerenga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KFUM Oslo Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

KFUM Oslo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

KFUM Oslo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KFUM Oslo VS Valerenga
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KFUM Oslo

(Home)
30 Sept
Honefoss
0 : 2
KFUM Oslo
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)