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Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Arman Gohar

Iran Iran

Division 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khalij Fars Mahshahr play Arman Gohar in the Division 1 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khalij Fars Mahshahr averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Arman Gohar averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Khalij Fars Mahshahr won 1, Arman Gohar won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Khalij Fars Mahshahr and 1.44 for Arman Gohar. This points to a Khalij Fars Mahshahr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Khalij Fars Mahshahr
24%
Draws
32%
Arman Gohar
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Khalij Fars Mahshahr picked up more points recently compared to Arman Gohar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Khalij Fars Mahshahr Clean Sheet 16%
Arman Gohar Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khalij Fars Mahshahr Arman Gohar
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2023 Azadegan League
Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Arman Gohar
2:1
Sep 14, 2022 Azadegan League
Arman Gohar vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahivi R. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bahmaei R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Arman Gohar Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khalij Fars Mahshahr 43 / 100
Arman Gohar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khalij Fars Mahshahr Arman Gohar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khalij Fars Mahshahr or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khalij Fars Mahshahr attacking → ← attacking Arman Gohar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khalij Fars Mahshahr scored in 61% of their last 23 games.

Arman Gohar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arman Gohar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 26
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shams Azar Qazvin32217466:2470
2Esteghlal Khuzestan321415347:2157
3Saipa321510730:2255
4Fajr Sepasi321411740:2553
5Kheybar Khorramabad321216432:1652
6Mes Shahr Babak321015724:2045
7Vanpars321291132:2945
8Chadormalu321112932:3145
9Pars Janoobi Jam3211101126:3143
10Darya Babol328141026:2538
11Esteghlal Molasani32716927:4237
12Khoosheh Talai328111326:3335
13Arman Gohar327101528:4531
14Shahrdari Astara325151214:2730
15Shahrdari Hamedan326111516:2929
16Khalij Fars Mahshahr32781721:4229
17Chooka Talesh324101829:5422
18Omid Vahdat Khorasan00000:00
19Shahr Khodrou00000:00
20Qashqai Shiraz00000:00
21Shahin Bandar Ameri00000:00