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Khan Tengri vs Aktobe 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri host Aktobe 2 in the First League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Khan Tengri have averaged 1.28 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Aktobe 2's 1.93 scored and 2.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Khan Tengri have won 3 to Aktobe 2's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (2.25 - 1.63) back Aktobe 2 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Khan Tengri
15%
Draws
39%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aktobe 2 come out ahead of Khan Tengri on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Khan Tengri taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 14%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Aktobe 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
5:2
Oct 24, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Aktobe 2
2:0
Aug 16, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Khan Tengri
0:2
May 31, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs Aktobe 2
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 39 / 100
Aktobe 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aktobe 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Khan Tengri found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Khan Tengri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Aktobe 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Aktobe 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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