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Khan Tengri vs FC Astana 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Abdullaev B.
40' Event
Medelkhan D.
Assist: Ermenov Z.
55' Event
Medelkhan D.
Assist: Sarsenbek R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Khan Tengri and FC Astana 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Khan Tengri
20%
Draws
40%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Astana 2 come out ahead of Khan Tengri on wins alone.
  • Khan Tengri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Khan Tengri have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 19%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri FC Astana 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Astana 2
3:0
May 26, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Khan Tengri
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Khan Tengri
1:2
Apr 28, 2023 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Astana 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Medelkhan D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullaev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 85 / 100
FC Astana 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Astana 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Khan Tengri scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Khan Tengri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS FC Astana 2
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
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FC Astana 2

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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