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Khan Tengri vs Jaiyq

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Khan Tengri Logo

Khan Tengri

1 - 0
FT
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Amirseitov I.
81'
Abdrakhmanov E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Khan Tengri
30%
Draws
29%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Jaiyq have won more games recently than Khan Tengri.
  • Win probability leans Khan Tengri's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 17%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Jaiyq
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.92
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Jaiyq
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Amirseitov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 41 / 100
Jaiyq 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khan Tengri's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Khan Tengri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jaiyq let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Jaiyq
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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