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Khan Tengri vs Kaspij Aktau 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Islam N.
49' Event
Islam N.
54' Event
Emirov R.
Assist: Abdrakhmanov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Khan Tengri
22%
Draws
60%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaspij Aktau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Khan Tengri have won more games recently than Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • Model gives Kaspij Aktau 2 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 14%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Kaspij Aktau 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Emirov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medelkhan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Islam N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 19 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau 2 conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Khan Tengri found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Kaspij Aktau 2's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Kaspij Aktau 2
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
23 Jul
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Khan Tengri
16 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
09 Jul
Aktobe 2
5 : 2
Khan Tengri
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
25 Jun
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 0
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0
FC Ekibastuz
17 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
6 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
10 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 0
Taraz
02 Jul
FC Astana 2
6 : 1
Kaspij Aktau 2
25 Jun
Kaspij Aktau 2
2 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 215132054:741
2Shakhter Karagandy15131142:640
3Turan15101431:1231
4Akademiya Ontustik1582524:2026
5FC Astana 21572626:2423
6Jaiyq1571713:1822
7Taraz1562721:2020
8Kaspij Aktau 21553719:2818
9Khan Tengri1552818:2817
10FC Ekibastuz1545617:2917
11Aktobe 21545627:4417
12Arys15311116:3610
13Yelimay Semey 215231011:289
14Tobol 215141024:437
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