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Khan Tengri vs SD Family

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Zhumagali S.
46'
Sub
Bekmyrza A. In: Slyamkhan A.
Out: Bekmyrza A.
46'
Sub
Gabiden A. In: Mukhametali K.
Out: Gabiden A.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Khan Tengri and SD Family finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Khan Tengri
15%
Draws
0%
SD Family
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khan Tengri come out ahead of SD Family on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Khan Tengri taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 19%
SD Family Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri SD Family
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.26 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs SD Family
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 First League
SD Family vs Khan Tengri
0:3
Aug 30, 2024 First League
Khan Tengri vs SD Family
6:0
Jun 28, 2024 First League
SD Family vs Khan Tengri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhimzhanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

SD Family Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanbay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 85 / 100
SD Family 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri SD Family

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Family's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: SD Family has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Khan Tengri found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7

SD Family

(Away)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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