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Khan Tengri vs Taraz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Baytana B.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Bizhan A.
70' Event
Abdullaev B.
Assist: Kelgenbay A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Khan Tengri and Taraz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Khan Tengri
35%
Draws
30%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Khan Tengri haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Khan Tengri's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 17%
Taraz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Taraz
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
3:3
Jun 19, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Taraz
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
2:1
May 23, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Taraz
1:1
Jul 17, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Khan Tengri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Bizhan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullaev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Taraz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 41 / 100
Taraz 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khan Tengri found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Khan Tengri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Taraz
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 7

Taraz

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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