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Khan Tengri vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Emirov R.
57' Event
Valiev A.
Assist: Emirov R.
65'
Aydarbekuly A.

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Khan Tengri
15%
Draws
39%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Khan Tengri have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Tobol 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 15%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Tobol 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Khan Tengri
3:4
May 22, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Tobol 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Emirov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valiev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 11 / 100
Tobol 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Tobol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Khan Tengri scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Khan Tengri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Tobol 2
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Tobol 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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