Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khan Tengri vs Tobol 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Khan Tengri Logo

Khan Tengri

2 - 1
FT
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Emirov R.
57' Event
Valiev A.
Assist: Emirov R.
65'
Aydarbekuly A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Khan Tengri
15%
Draws
85%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Khan Tengri have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Khan Tengri taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khan Tengri Tobol 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 10
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Tobol 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Emirov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valiev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khan Tengri 34 / 100
Tobol 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khan Tengri Tobol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Tobol 2 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Khan Tengri scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Khan Tengri VS Tobol 2
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Khan Tengri

(Home)
06 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Khan Tengri
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
23 Jul
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Khan Tengri
16 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
09 Jul
Aktobe 2
5 : 2
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Tobol 2

(Away)
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
17 Jul
Tobol 2
2 : 3
Akademiya Ontustik
09 Jul
Jaiyq
1 : 0
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 17 15 1 1 45:6 46
2 Kairat Almaty 2 17 13 3 1 56:10 42
3 Turan 17 12 1 4 37:13 37
4 Akademiya Ontustik 17 9 2 6 28:23 29
5 FC Astana 2 17 8 2 7 29:29 26
6 Jaiyq 17 8 2 7 17:20 26
7 Taraz 17 7 2 8 23:23 23
8 FC Ekibastuz 17 6 5 6 21:30 23
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 17 6 3 8 25:30 21
10 Khan Tengri 17 5 2 10 19:32 17
11 Aktobe 2 17 4 5 8 28:52 17
12 Arys 17 4 1 12 19:38 13
13 Yelimay Semey 2 17 3 3 11 13:30 12
14 Tobol 2 17 1 4 12 24:48 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)