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Khangarid vs Brera Ilch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Purevbaatar B.
9' Event
Temuulen Z.
22' Event
Imaizumi R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Khangarid and Brera Ilch finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khangarid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Khangarid
15%
Draws
64%
Brera Ilch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Ilch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Brera Ilch haven't matched Khangarid's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Khangarid have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 68%
Brera Ilch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khangarid Brera Ilch
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 3.03 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Khangarid vs Brera Ilch
3:1
Apr 17, 2025 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khangarid
0:4
Sep 30, 2024 Premier League
Khangarid vs Brera Ilch
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Premier League
Brera Ilch vs Khangarid
2:4
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Khangarid vs Brera Ilch
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khangarid Compare

Top Goalscorer Temuulen Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imaizumi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Brera Ilch Compare

Top Goalscorer Purevbaatar B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khangarid 41 / 100
Brera Ilch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khangarid Brera Ilch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khangarid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Khangarid scored in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Brera Ilch conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Brera Ilch's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Khangarid VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khangarid

(Home)
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
Deren
2 : 1
Khangarid
27 Jun
Central Stallions
2 : 2
Khangarid
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
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Brera Ilch

(Away)
19 Jul
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Brera Ilch
15 Jul
Brera Ilch
1 : 4
Khovd
09 Jul
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
3 : 5
Brera Ilch
06 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 1
Brera Ilch
01 Jul
Brera Ilch
0 : 1
Hunters
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcons 27 21 4 2 104:19 67
2 Khangarid 27 18 3 6 66:32 57
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 27 15 6 6 65:40 51
4 Deren 27 15 5 7 83:30 50
5 Khoromkhon 27 11 1 15 58:89 34
6 Khovd 27 9 5 13 72:61 32
7 Hunters 27 8 5 14 38:49 29
8 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 27 7 6 14 54:64 27
9 Central Stallions 27 7 1 19 31:156 22
10 Brera Ilch 27 4 4 19 43:74 16
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)