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Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2015/2016 Khazar Lankaran Central Stadium, Länkäran
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Match Events

42' Event
Diniyev K.
48' Event
Ebah J.
79' Event
Aliyev O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2015/2016 game between Khazar Lenkoran and Kapaz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kapaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Khazar Lenkoran
20%
Draws
70%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Khazar Lenkoran haven't matched Kapaz's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Kapaz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kapaz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 22%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khazar Lenkoran Kapaz
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.4 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0
Dec 17, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:1
Dec 2, 2015 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
1:0
Oct 24, 2015 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Diniyev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebah J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khazar Lenkoran 24 / 100
Kapaz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khazar Lenkoran Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Khazar Lenkoran's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Khazar Lenkoran went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kapaz
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khazar Lenkoran

(Home)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
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Kapaz

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qarabag Agdam 36 26 6 4 66:21 84
2 Zira FK 36 17 11 8 42:31 62
3 Gabala 36 16 11 9 44:28 59
4 Shamakhi 36 16 11 9 39:28 59
5 Kapaz 36 15 11 10 48:40 56
6 Neftci Baku 36 13 10 13 41:41 49
7 Shuvalan 36 13 7 16 26:38 46
8 SumQayit FK 36 9 12 15 41:49 39
9 Ravan 36 5 9 22 27:63 18
10 Khazar Lenkoran 36 3 6 27 16:51 15
Promotion - Champions League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)