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Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2015/2016 Khazar Lankaran Central Stadium, Länkäran
Khazar Lenkoran Logo

Khazar Lenkoran

1 - 0
FT
Kapaz Logo

Kapaz

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abdullazada K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Khazar Lenkoran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Khazar Lenkoran
20%
Draws
70%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kapaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Khazar Lenkoran haven't matched Kapaz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kapaz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Kapaz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kapaz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kapaz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 22%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khazar Lenkoran Kapaz
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.4 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:3
Mar 13, 2016 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0
Dec 17, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
0:1
Dec 2, 2015 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lenkoran vs Kapaz
1:0
Oct 24, 2015 Premier League
Kapaz vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullazada K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kapaz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khazar Lenkoran 24 / 100
Kapaz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khazar Lenkoran Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kapaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Khazar Lenkoran scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Khazar Lenkoran went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kapaz
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khazar Lenkoran

(Home)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
Page 1 of 6

Kapaz

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamakhi -
TBD -
MOIK Baku 1
Turan 2
FK Baku -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravan -
SumQayit FK -
TBD -
TBD -
ANSAD Neftcala -
Shamkir 3
Sahdag Qusar 1
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Sharurspor 3
Lokbatan 4
Kapaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Khazar Lenkoran -
Zira FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Shuvalan -
Imisli FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Gabala -
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 3
Turan 1
FK Baku 0
Ravan 1
SumQayit FK 1
ANSAD Neftcala 0
Shamkir 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
Neftci Baku 8
Lokbatan 0
Kapaz 0
Khazar Lenkoran 1
Zira FK 2
Shuvalan 1
Imisli FK 0
Gabala 7
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 4
Ravan 2
SumQayit FK 1
Qarabag Agdam 6
Neftci Baku 4
Khazar Lenkoran 3
Zira FK 2
Gabala 7
Semi-finals
Shamakhi 0
Qarabag Agdam 5
Neftci Baku 3
Gabala 2
Final
Qarabag Agdam 1
Neftci Baku 0