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Stadium Background

Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2015/2016 Khazar Lankaran Central Stadium, Länkäran
Khazar Lenkoran Logo

Khazar Lenkoran

3 - 2
FT
Neftci Baku Logo

Neftci Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Guleliyev V.
19' Event
Gurbatov T.
22' Event
Qurbanov R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Khazar Lenkoran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Khazar Lenkoran
28%
Draws
50%
Neftci Baku
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftci Baku come out ahead of Khazar Lenkoran on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neftci Baku a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Neftci Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Neftci Baku, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Neftci Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 11%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khazar Lenkoran Neftci Baku
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
0:1
Mar 9, 2016 Azerbaijan Cup
Neftci Baku vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0
Mar 2, 2016 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
3:2
Feb 13, 2016 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:0
Nov 22, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Guleliyev V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gurbatov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Qurbanov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muradbayli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khazar Lenkoran 22 / 100
Neftci Baku 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khazar Lenkoran Neftci Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftci Baku has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Neftci Baku's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Khazar Lenkoran scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftci Baku
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Khazar Lenkoran

(Home)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
Page 1 of 6

Neftci Baku

(Away)
30 Jul
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
22 Jul
Neftci Baku
2 : 4
Din. Minsk
13 Jul
Neftci Baku
0 : 1
Osijek
10 Jul
Radnicki Nis
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
06 Jul
Partizan
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shamakhi-
TBD-
MOIK Baku1
Turan2
FK Baku-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravan-
SumQayit FK-
TBD-
TBD-
ANSAD Neftcala-
Shamkir3
Sahdag Qusar1
TBD-
Qarabag Agdam-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Sharurspor3
Lokbatan4
Kapaz-
TBD-
TBD-
Khazar Lenkoran-
Zira FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Shuvalan-
Imisli FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Gabala-
1/8-finals
Shamakhi3
Turan1
FK Baku0
Ravan1
SumQayit FK1
ANSAD Neftcala0
Shamkir0
Qarabag Agdam2
Neftci Baku8
Lokbatan0
Kapaz0
Khazar Lenkoran1
Zira FK2
Shuvalan1
Imisli FK0
Gabala7
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi4
Ravan2
SumQayit FK1
Qarabag Agdam6
Neftci Baku4
Khazar Lenkoran3
Zira FK2
Gabala7
Semi-finals
Shamakhi0
Qarabag Agdam5
Neftci Baku3
Gabala2
Final
Qarabag Agdam1
Neftci Baku0