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Khazar Lenkoran vs SumQayit FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2015/2016 Khazar Lankaran Central Stadium, Länkäran
Khazar Lenkoran Logo

Khazar Lenkoran

1 - 2
FT
SumQayit FK Logo

SumQayit FK

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gurbatov T.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Cavadov V.
80' Event
Yunanov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SumQayit FK in this Premier League 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SumQayit FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Khazar Lenkoran
30%
Draws
47%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SumQayit FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SumQayit FK have won more games recently than Khazar Lenkoran.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on SumQayit FK taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SumQayit FK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 25%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khazar Lenkoran SumQayit FK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.4 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs SumQayit FK
1:2
Mar 30, 2016 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:1
Oct 28, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs SumQayit FK
1:2
Aug 16, 2015 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:1
May 22, 2015 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

SumQayit FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavadov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yunanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khazar Lenkoran 29 / 100
SumQayit FK 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khazar Lenkoran SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SumQayit FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SumQayit FK conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

SumQayit FK's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Khazar Lenkoran found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS SumQayit FK
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khazar Lenkoran

(Home)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
Page 1 of 6

SumQayit FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qarabag Agdam 36 26 6 4 66:21 84
2 Zira FK 36 17 11 8 42:31 62
3 Gabala 36 16 11 9 44:28 59
4 Shamakhi 36 16 11 9 39:28 59
5 Kapaz 36 15 11 10 48:40 56
6 Neftci Baku 36 13 10 13 41:41 49
7 Shuvalan 36 13 7 16 26:38 46
8 SumQayit FK 36 9 12 15 41:49 39
9 Ravan 36 5 9 22 27:63 18
10 Khazar Lenkoran 36 3 6 27 16:51 15
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