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Khimik vs Broke Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Sergienko A.
85' Event
Davydov I.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Khimik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Khimik
15%
Draws
36%
Broke Boys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Broke Boys haven't matched Khimik's recent run of results.
  • Khimik are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Khimik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Khimik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Khimik Clean Sheet 20%
Broke Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimik Broke Boys
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 24 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.33 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2024 Russian Cup
Khimik vs Broke Boys
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sergienko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Broke Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimik 49 / 100
Broke Boys 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimik Broke Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khimik scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Broke Boys conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Khimik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Khimik VS Broke Boys
3 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimik

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Khimik
20 Sept
Khimik
1 : 2
Akron Togliatti 2
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
Page 1 of 6

Broke Boys

(Away)
12 Aug
Broke Boys
0 : 2
Kirov
28 Jul
Bomik
1 : 2
Broke Boys
23 Sept
Broke Boys
0 : 2
Saratov
11 Sept
Saturn Ramenskoye
0 : 2
Broke Boys
21 Aug
Kursk
1 : 2
Broke Boys
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Pskov 747 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol -
TBD -
TBD -
Kursk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 8
FK Kolomna 1
Kosmos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakhalin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar -
TBD -
Ilpar FC 0
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Penza -
FK Kompozit -
TBD -
SSh Leningradets 1
Dynamo Petersburg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
FK Pobeda 1
Angust Nazran 0
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk -
TBD -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 5
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK ZOV 2
Vladimir 3
Khimik -
TBD -
Broke Boys 2
Kvant Obninsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tver 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban -
TBD -
Kuban Kholding 2
Maykop 1
Forte Taganrog -
TBD -
TBD -
KDV Tomsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Orgenergostroy Dimitrovgrad 3
Lada Togliatti 4
Kirov -
TBD -
Sokol Kazan 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk 1
Biolog 2
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
Cherepovets 0
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Strogino Moscow 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/16-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 4
D. Bryansk 0
Kaluga 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 2
Kursk 0
Spartak Tambov 2
Salyut-Belgorod 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow 0
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 2
Sakhalin 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 2
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 1
Nosta 0
Torpedo Miass 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk 1
Penza 2
FK Kompozit 2
Dynamo Petersburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
FK Pobeda 1
Astrakhan 2
Legion Makhachkala 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 1
Sibir Novosibirsk 4
Temp Barnaul 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 3
Vladimir 2
Khimik 1
Broke Boys 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 4
Kristall 0
Znamya Truda 2
FK Tver 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban 0
Kuban Kholding 5
Forte Taganrog 5
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 2
Lada Togliatti 0
Kirov 3
Sokol Kazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 2
Biolog 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 3
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma 1
2Drots 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/8-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 0
Luki-Energiya 3
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 4
Salyut-Belgorod 2
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Tyumen -
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 1
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Penza 0
FK Kompozit 3
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Ufa -
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 2
Khimik 3
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 0
Znamya Truda 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban Kholding 1
Forte Taganrog 0
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 7
Kirov 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Quarter-finals
Kamaz 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Luki-Energiya 1
Baltika 2
FC Oryol 2
Saratov 3
Ural 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Chelyabinsk 0
Tyumen 2
Amkal Moscow 0
Alania Vladikavkaz 1
Amkar 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 3
FK Kompozit 1
Neftekhimik 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Ufa 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Khimik 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 3
Znamya Truda 2
Arsenal Tula 1
Kuban Kholding 0
PFC Sochi 5
Ulyanovsk 2
R. Volgograd 1
Mashuk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
S. Kostroma 1
Yenisey 0
Semi-finals
Torpedo Moscow 0
Baltika 4
Saratov 1
Ural 3
Tyumen 1
Alania Vladikavkaz 0
Amkar 1
FK Kompozit 0
Ufa 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Znamya Truda 0
PFC Sochi 2
Ulyanovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 1
S. Kostroma 2
Final
Baltika 0
Ural 1
Tyumen 3
Amkar 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
PFC Sochi 3
S. Kostroma 2