Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khimik vs Nosta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Gruznov I.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Oganichev D.
57' Event
Shirokov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Khimik and Nosta finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khimik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Khimik
15%
Draws
36%
Nosta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nosta haven't matched Khimik's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Khimik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Khimik Clean Sheet 68%
Nosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimik Nosta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Russian Cup
Khimik vs Nosta
2:3
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Nosta
5:0
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Khimik
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Khimik
2:5
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Nosta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Oganichev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shirokov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimik 41 / 100
Nosta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimik Nosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khimik found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Nosta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Khimik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khimik VS Nosta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimik

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Khimik
20 Sept
Khimik
1 : 2
Akron Togliatti 2
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
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Nosta

(Away)
04 Oct
Ural 2
1 : 2
Nosta
27 Sept
Nosta
2 : 0
Orenburg 2
20 Sept
Nosta
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
13 Sept
Rubin Kazan 2
2 : 0
Nosta
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)