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Khimki vs Arsenal Tula

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Club Friendly 2024 UTC Kratovo, Moscow
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Match Events

13' Event
Mirzov R.
86' Event
Rudenko A.
90' Event
Panchenko K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Khimki and Arsenal Tula finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khimki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Khimki
35%
Draws
26%
Arsenal Tula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khimki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khimki come out ahead of Arsenal Tula on wins alone.
  • Model gives Khimki a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Khimki Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimki Arsenal Tula
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Khimki vs Arsenal Tula
3:0
Apr 8, 2024 FNL
Khimki vs Arsenal Tula
3:2
Sep 11, 2023 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Khimki
0:2
Dec 5, 2021 Premier League
Khimki vs Arsenal Tula
1:2
Oct 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Khimki vs Arsenal Tula
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimki Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirzov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rudenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Arsenal Tula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimki 36 / 100
Arsenal Tula 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimki Arsenal Tula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khimki scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tula conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Khimki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Tula
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khimki

(Home)
24 May
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0
Khimki
17 May
Khimki
3 : 2
Rubin Kazan
10 May
Orenburg
1 : 1
Khimki
04 May
Khimki
1 : 1
FK Rostov
27 Apr
Khimki
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
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Arsenal Tula

(Away)
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
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