Sport Picks
Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup 2024/2025 Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
41'
41'
Timofeev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Mirzov R. In: Magomedov B.
Out: Mirzov R.
46'
46'
Sub
Saltykov N. In: Sevikyan E.
Out: Saltykov N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-5, with Lokomotiv Moscow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Khimki come out ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow on wins alone.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Khimki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Khimki Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Khimki | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow
2:0
Sep 19, 2024 Russian Cup
Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:5
Aug 28, 2024 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki
4:0
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Khimki Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakaev Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Lokomotiv Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinyaev S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Suleymanov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Khimki 32 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Khimki Lokomotiv Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Khimki found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Lokomotiv Moscow let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Khimki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lokomotiv Moscow
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Khimki
(Home) 24 May
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0 Khimki
17 May
Khimki
3 : 2 Rubin Kazan
10 May
Orenburg
1 : 1 Khimki
04 May
Khimki
1 : 1 FK Rostov
27 Apr
Khimki
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Khimki
3 : 2 Rubin Kazan
04 May
Khimki
1 : 1 FK Rostov
27 Apr
Khimki
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
13 Apr
Khimki
1 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Mar
Khimki
2 : 0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 4
Lokomotiv Moscow
(Away) 03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
01 Sept
Akron Togliatti
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
22 Aug
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 Lokomotiv Moscow
18 Aug
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 11 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:22 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 2 | FK Rostov | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Khimki | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 4 | Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2024/2025 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
