Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khobi vs FC Gardabani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni, Khobi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tchedia G.
61' Event
Diasamidze S.
86' Event
Ambroladze G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Khobi and FC Gardabani finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khobi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Khobi
15%
Draws
36%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khobi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khobi come out ahead of FC Gardabani on wins alone.
  • Model gives Khobi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Khobi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Khobi Clean Sheet 14%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khobi FC Gardabani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.59 0.79
Goals Conceded 2 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Liga 3
Khobi vs FC Gardabani
2:1
Nov 20, 2025 Liga 3
Khobi vs FC Gardabani
6:1
Jun 16, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Khobi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khobi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchedia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ambroladze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Diasamidze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khobi 84 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khobi FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khobi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gardabani has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Khobi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Gardabani lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khobi VS FC Gardabani
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Khobi

(Home)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Khobi
1 : 1
Didube
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
Page 1 of 6

FC Gardabani

(Away)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)