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Khonkaen United vs Bangkok Utd

Thailand Thailand

League Cup Khonkaen Stadium, Khon Kaen
Wed, Jan 21, 2026
3 - 2
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Choti C.
90' Event
Dangda T.
113' Event
Ouattara A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Khonkaen United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Khonkaen United
39%
Draws
30%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangkok Utd come out ahead of Khonkaen United on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bangkok Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangkok Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Khonkaen United Clean Sheet 14%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khonkaen United Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.29 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 League Cup
Khonkaen United vs Bangkok Utd
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Khonkaen United
5:0
Nov 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Bangkok Utd
2:3
May 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Bangkok Utd
2:2
Dec 9, 2023 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Khonkaen United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khonkaen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Choti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dangda T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kunori S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khonkaen United 31 / 100
Bangkok Utd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khonkaen United Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khonkaen United scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Bangkok Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Khonkaen United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khonkaen United VS Bangkok Utd
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khonkaen United

(Home)
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
19 Apr
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Kasetsart
05 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 2
Khonkaen United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1
Chiangmai United
18 Mar
Port MTI FC
7 : 0
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
22 Apr
Svay Rieng
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1