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Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khorfakkan host Al Wahda in the UAE League. This one's hard to separate. Al Wahda have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Khorfakkan have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Al Wahda slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.81) back Al Wahda to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Khorfakkan
15%
Draws
76%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Wahda have won more games recently than Khorfakkan.
  • Win probability leans Al Wahda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 11%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khorfakkan Al Wahda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Khorfakkan
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 League Cup
Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 League Cup
Al Wahda vs Khorfakkan
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Khorfakkan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khorfakkan 22 / 100
Al Wahda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khorfakkan Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Khorfakkan scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Wahda conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Khorfakkan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Khorfakkan VS Al Wahda
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Khorfakkan

(Home)
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

Al Wahda

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)