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Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bilguun M.
10' Event
Ochirvaan E.
23' Event
Ochirvaan E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Khoromkhon and Ulaangom City FC finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulaangom City FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Khoromkhon
15%
Draws
85%
Ulaangom City FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulaangom City FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khoromkhon come out ahead of Ulaangom City FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ulaangom City FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • Ulaangom City FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoromkhon Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 6 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 1.74 1.12
Goals Conceded 5.48 5.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC
2:4
Jun 17, 2026 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC
2:5
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khoromkhon
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoromkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilguun M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uchral K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochirvaan E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Temer-Ochir L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoromkhon 10 / 100
Ulaangom City FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoromkhon Ulaangom City FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulaangom City FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulaangom City FC conceded in 96% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.67 goals when they meet.

Khoromkhon found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Ulaangom City FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Khoromkhon VS Ulaangom City FC
1 Goals Scored 2.25
6.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Khoromkhon

(Home)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
22 Jun
Hunters
9 : 0
Khoromkhon
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
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Ulaangom City FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
16 Sept
Khovd Western
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
13 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 1
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
04 Jul
Ulaangom City FC
1 : 11
Hunters
01 Jul
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Ulaangom City FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)