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Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khoromkhon play Ulaangom City FC in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khoromkhon averaged 1.77 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. Ulaangom City FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 6 conceded. In past meetings, Khoromkhon won 1, Ulaangom City FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 25, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.25 for Khoromkhon and 3.94 for Ulaangom City FC. This points to a Ulaangom City FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Khoromkhon
15%
Draws
45%
Ulaangom City FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulaangom City FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Khoromkhon picked up more points recently compared to Ulaangom City FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.25 vs 3.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 58%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Khoromkhon Clean Sheet 10%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khoromkhon Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 6 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 5.5 6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC
2:4
Jun 17, 2026 Premier League
Khoromkhon vs Ulaangom City FC
2:5
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khoromkhon
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khoromkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilguun M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uchral K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochirvaan E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Temer-Ochir L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khoromkhon 38 / 100
Ulaangom City FC 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khoromkhon Ulaangom City FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulaangom City FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.6%
1.11
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khoromkhon attacking → ← attacking Ulaangom City FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khoromkhon scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ulaangom City FC let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Khoromkhon went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ulaangom City FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 11
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
6.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00