Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khosilot Parkhar vs Regar-TadAZ

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Babajanov N.
36' Event
Ngombe R.
39' Event
Panzhiev O.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Khosilot Parkhar and Regar-TadAZ finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Khosilot Parkhar
20%
Draws
40%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Khosilot Parkhar haven't matched Regar-TadAZ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Khosilot Parkhar a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 20%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khosilot Parkhar Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Regar-TadAZ
2:3
May 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khosilot Parkhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngombe R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nazhmov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Regar-TadAZ Compare

Top Goalscorer Babajanov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panzhiev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khosilot Parkhar 42 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khosilot Parkhar Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Khosilot Parkhar scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Regar-TadAZ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Khosilot Parkhar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Khosilot Parkhar VS Regar-TadAZ
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Khosilot Parkhar

(Home)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 7

Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)