Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khujand vs Khosilot Parkhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khujand host Khosilot Parkhar in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Khosilot Parkhar have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Khujand have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, Khujand have won 2 to Khosilot Parkhar's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.50) back Khosilot Parkhar to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Khujand
30%
Draws
33%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Khujand haven't matched Khosilot Parkhar's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Khujand Clean Sheet 16%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khujand Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Khujand
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Khosilot Parkhar
2:1
May 9, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Khujand
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Khujand
0:1
Apr 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khujand 30 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khujand Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Khujand remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Khujand's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Khosilot Parkhar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Khujand VS Khosilot Parkhar
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Khujand

(Home)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)