Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Kibera and Fortune Sacco finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortune Sacco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Fortune Sacco carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kibera Clean Sheet 20%
Fortune Sacco Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kibera | Fortune Sacco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Fortune Sacco
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs Kibera
0:0
May 18, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Fortune Sacco
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs Kibera
1:1
Jan 15, 2023 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs Kibera
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kibera 32 / 100
Fortune Sacco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kibera Fortune Sacco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kibera found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Fortune Sacco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Fortune Sacco conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Kibera VS Fortune Sacco
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kibera
(Home) 13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0 Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2 MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1 Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1 Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0 Kibera
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2 MCF
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1 Nairobi City Stars
16 May
Kibera
1 : 2 3K FC
02 May
Kibera
0 : 0 Gucha Stars
25 Apr
Kibera
1 : 1 Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 3
Fortune Sacco
(Away) 13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3 Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0 Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1 Fortune Sacco
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4 Equity Bank
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3 Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3 Fortune Sacco
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1 Fortune Sacco
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3 Fortune Sacco
10 May
3K FC
2 : 1 Fortune Sacco
06 May
Soy United
1 : 1 Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
