Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kibera vs Gucha Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Kibera Logo

Kibera

0 - 0
FT
Gucha Stars Logo

Gucha Stars

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kibera and Gucha Stars finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kibera
20%
Draws
65%
Gucha Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gucha Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Gucha Stars haven't matched Kibera's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kibera Clean Sheet 20%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kibera Gucha Stars
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Gucha Stars
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Gucha Stars vs Kibera
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kibera 32 / 100
Gucha Stars 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kibera Gucha Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gucha Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kibera scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gucha Stars conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Solid form: Kibera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kibera VS Gucha Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kibera

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

Gucha Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)