Sport Picks

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Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC FC

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Rwamwanja stadium, Nkoma
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kigezi HomeBoyz host NEC FC in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. NEC FC have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Kigezi HomeBoyz have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.19. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.69 - 1.19) back NEC FC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
20%
Draws
73%
NEC FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • NEC FC have won more games recently than Kigezi HomeBoyz.
  • Win probability leans NEC FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 20%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kigezi HomeBoyz NEC FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.19 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kigezi HomeBoyz 10 / 100
NEC FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kigezi HomeBoyz NEC FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kigezi HomeBoyz found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: NEC FC conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Kigezi HomeBoyz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: NEC FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kigezi HomeBoyz VS NEC FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kigezi HomeBoyz

(Home)
15 Sept
Villa
3 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

NEC FC

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)