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Killester Donnycarney vs Usher Celtic

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2021
Killester Donnycarney Logo

Killester Donnycarney

1 - 0
FT
Usher Celtic Logo

Usher Celtic

Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Fowler E.
90'
Buckley J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Killester Donnycarney advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Killester Donnycarney
15%
Draws
0%
Usher Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killester Donnycarney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Killester Donnycarney carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Killester Donnycarney's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Killester Donnycarney have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Killester Donnycarney, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 20%
Usher Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killester Donnycarney Usher Celtic
Matches Played 25 4
Wins 10 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.6 0
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2021 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Usher Celtic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Killester Donnycarney Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Usher Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killester Donnycarney 58 / 100
Usher Celtic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killester Donnycarney Usher Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Killester Donnycarney Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Usher Celtic conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Killester Donnycarney found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Usher Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Killester Donnycarney VS Usher Celtic
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Killester Donnycarney

(Home)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Usher Celtic

(Away)
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
27 Feb
St Mochta's
3 : 0
Usher Celtic
29 Jul
Treaty United
5 : 0
Usher Celtic
25 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
1 : 0
Usher Celtic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 6
Bray 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
Usher Celtic 0
Wexford 3
Cabinteely 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Finn Harps 3
Drogheda 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 0
Dundalk 1
Crumlin Utd 1
St Mochta's 2
College Corinthians 0
Bohemians 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 0
Maynooth University 4
Malahide United 0
Liffey Wanderers 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Shelbourne 0
Bangor Celtic 0
Longford 5
Athlone 4
Waterford 5
St. Kevins Boys 1
Kilnamanagh 4
1/8-finals
Cork City 1
St. Patricks 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Wexford 2
Finn Harps 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 5
St Mochta's 1
Bohemians 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Maynooth University 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Longford 1
Waterford 4
Kilnamanagh 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Wexford 0
Finn Harps 4
Dundalk 6
Bohemians 4
Maynooth University 0
UC Dublin 2
Waterford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 1
Waterford 0
Final
St. Patricks 2
Bohemians 1