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Killester Donnycarney vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sub
Doherty J. In: Connolly J.
Out: Doherty J.
34'
Rogers S.
37'
Farrell E.

AI Match Summary

Wexford in this FAI Cup 2021 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Killester Donnycarney
15%
Draws
28%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killester Donnycarney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Wexford have won more games recently than Killester Donnycarney.
  • Killester Donnycarney are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Wexford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wexford, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Wexford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 17%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killester Donnycarney Wexford
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2021 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Wexford
0:2
Jun 24, 2008 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Wexford
1:2
Jun 6, 2008 FAI Cup
Wexford vs Killester Donnycarney
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Killester Donnycarney Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunphy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manahan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killester Donnycarney 48 / 100
Wexford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killester Donnycarney Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Killester Donnycarney Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Killester Donnycarney scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Wexford has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Wexford's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Killester Donnycarney VS Wexford
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Killester Donnycarney

(Home)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Wexford

(Away)
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 6
Bray 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
Usher Celtic 0
Wexford 3
Cabinteely 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Finn Harps 3
Drogheda 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 0
Dundalk 1
Crumlin Utd 1
St Mochta's 2
College Corinthians 0
Bohemians 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 0
Maynooth University 4
Malahide United 0
Liffey Wanderers 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Shelbourne 0
Bangor Celtic 0
Longford 5
Athlone 4
Waterford 5
St. Kevins Boys 1
Kilnamanagh 4
1/8-finals
Cork City 1
St. Patricks 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Wexford 2
Finn Harps 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 5
St Mochta's 1
Bohemians 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Maynooth University 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
UC Dublin 2
Longford 1
Waterford 4
Kilnamanagh 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Wexford 0
Finn Harps 4
Dundalk 6
Bohemians 4
Maynooth University 0
UC Dublin 2
Waterford 3
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 3
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 1
Waterford 0
Final
St. Patricks 2
Bohemians 1