Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Killymoon vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Birney C.
45' Event
Kane M.
68' Event
Ferry J.

AI Match Summary

Glentoran in this Irish Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Killymoon
15%
Draws
85%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Glentoran lately — more wins on the board than Killymoon.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Glentoran taking it.
  • Glentoran arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Glentoran, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Killymoon Clean Sheet 18%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Killymoon Glentoran
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.47 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2013 Irish Cup
Killymoon vs Glentoran
1:4
Sep 20, 2011 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Killymoon
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Killymoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferry J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Birney C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kane M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Killymoon 28 / 100
Glentoran 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Killymoon Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Killymoon scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Glentoran has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Difficult form: Glentoran registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Glentoran
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Killymoon

(Home)
20 Aug
Fivemiletown
:
Killymoon
22 Aug
Seapatrick
1 : 0
Killymoon
07 Dec
Harland & Wolff
8 : 1
Killymoon
13 Aug
Killymoon
3 : 4
Lurgan Celtic
12 Jan
Killymoon
1 : 4
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0
Limavady
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Sirocco 0
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness 3
Islandmagee 2
Malachians 3
Kilmore Rec 4
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 8
Dunmurry Rec 1
Camlough 2
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballynahinch United 3
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Rosario Youth 2
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Newcastle 0
Crumlin Star 2
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Killymoon -
TBD -
Crumlin United 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall 2
Chimney 0
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute 1
Dergview 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 7
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness -
Kilmore Rec -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Coagh Utd 2
Queens University 3
Banbridge 1
Glebe 0
Dundela 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 5
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh 2
Ards 3
Ballymena -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Warrenpoint 4
Ballynahinch United 2
Ballymoney 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Limavady 0
Annagh 3
Rosario Youth 4
Larne 3
Wakehurst 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 3
Crumlin Star 0
Portstewart 2
Ballyclare 3
Killymoon 4
Dromara 2
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 4
Ballinamallard 2
Loughgall 1
Donegal 3
Institute 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 2
Kilmore Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 5
Coagh Utd 1
Queens University 3
Dundela 4
Glenavon 5
Harland & Wolff 1
Linfield 3
Crusaders 4
Portadown 2
Dungannon 1
Immaculata 0
Ards 4
Ballymena 2
Warrenpoint 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Coleraine 7
Knockbreda 5
Rosario Youth 1
Larne 2
Lurgan Celtic 5
Bangor FC 3
Ballyclare 2
Killymoon 1
Glentoran 4
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Institute 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dundela 1
Glenavon 1
Crusaders 4
Portadown 1
Ards 0
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 5
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Kilmore Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Crusaders 3
Portadown 3
Coleraine 0
Knockbreda 1
Glentoran 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 0
Portadown 0
Glentoran 1
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 3